Tomorrow, November 2, 2010, is likely to be much more important in our future than anyone would thinks today. It's the mid-term election day, in which all Representatives and one third of our US Senators are elected, and that is important enough all by itself. The more important result of the decisions we make collectively tomorrow is going to be in the state legislatures.
These legislators will be tasked with re-designing the shapes of the districts from whom we elect US Representatives and Senators, using the data collected in this year's census. If there is any doubt in your mind that the drawing of voting districts is a tool used by politicians to keep certain seats safe for their party, review the shape of the current districts in North Carolina, especially the Twelth District. That strangely shaped district was challenged in Federal Court, finally reaching the Supreme Court, and some changes were done to conform to the lower court's ruling, but it is obvious to me that it remains a politically expendient district.
Seriously, with the mood of the populace today, I fear that redistricting is going to be even more contentious, producing more warped districts. And that is going to have an immense effect of who we elect to our Congress for at least ten years. At a time in our history that we are already partially polarized, the people who draw the new districts have the ability to legislate districts that keep us that way.
Returning briefly to yesterday's subject, "The American Dream", having re-read it I think I left out some important thoughts. As I watch events in France, read of Great Britain's economic problems and their methods of approaching them, and hearing expectations of a US decade of doldrums similar to what Japan experienced, etc., my concerns sometimes verge on despair. It seems that many people are unwilling to face the reality that the economic forces are going to have to be very different, and we will never return to old ways and jobs.
Facing a different future can be good if, and only if, viable replacement(s), economically and possibly politically, and probably also social changes can be expected and understood. I don't get the feeling that either our politicians, business leaders, or academicians and social leaders are leading us in ways that will provide a secure, fair future for all, not only the US but other nations, other peoples and cultures also. I don't see that occurring, especially in the more industrialized nations. I suppose we've become used to our comfortable life styles and are resisting any change. I hope that we can agree to the changes that are going to be necessary and don't have to concoct a war or wars to get out of this mess. It's a really enormous challenge, and one I don't see anyone either explaining it to us all or, possibly more likely, that understand it at all, and less that seem willing to accept a new reality.
History doesn't have a very good record of adapting to large economic and social changes. I'm not particularly hopeful that this technological change will slip in without upheaval that we've not prepared ourselves for. We are accustomed to having jobs that allow an improvement from generation to generation. Although there is evidence that environmental concerns have begun to affect how we live, there remain deep divisions about how much we will accept in terms of laws to inhibit pollution.
I am most concerned about education. As I read "Learning with 'e's", I can see that there are educational leaders who are aqdopting and adapting to new methods. I read a lot in the US that people will be subsidized to return to schools, normally Community Colleges, to learn new skills. That is, to me, a weak, false answer to a much larger problem. There's no sense retraining folk for jobs that will be phased out in the persons lifetime. Elementary and secondary education that prepares a person for jobs that haven't even been thought of yet must begin now. I have no idea how that can be done, but it's damn certainly necessary, and there seems to be enormous resistance to any kind of changes at these levels.
Where does that leave the people in the middle today, the middle-agers whose jobs have disappeared and need another one? That's a very difficult question. And though I can see the problem, I have to leave it to others who know a lot more than I do to solve it. I can envision that it's going to be the most difficult part of adapting to the new reality which I think is already upon us. I think there's going to be some very difficult decisions, approaching social engineering, to solve it.
As I read what I've written, I am obviously an old guy who has retired and doesn't have to worry about it at all, spouting off about subjects which I have no expertise. And that is very true. But, as I observe polarization, angst, ignorance, and pure veniality permeating our political and social framework, I am concerned. Writing here and voting is about all I can do. Thanks for reading.
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